UTSA vs. Rice prediction: Why UTSA is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of UTSA vs. Rice, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives UTSA a 76.8% chance of beating Rice. Our predicted final score has UTSA winning 32-22. According to our model, Rice (+11.5) has a 56.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 50.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: UTSA -11.5 (-115) / Rice +11.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: UTSA -500, Rice +450
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-105/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Rice +11.5 @ -105 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Rice @ +450 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 56.5 @ -105 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rice +11.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Rice and UTSA at First Community Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: UTSA vs. Rice
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: First Community Stadium

College football Week 5 promos

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Conclusion

We predict UTSA, with a 76.8% win probability, will likely beat Rice in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.