Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/9/2026]
Get Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians will meet in MLB action at Rate Field on Sunday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.
The White Sox will start Davis Martin (9-6, 4.13 ERA), while the Guardians have opted for Joey Cantillo (8-7, 3.87 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the White Sox a slight edge with a 50.1% win probability over the Guardians.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Guardians vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.
Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the White Sox a 50.1% chance of beating the Guardians.
According to our model, the White Sox (+1.5) have a 61.9% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51.7% chance of going over,.
Guardians vs. White Sox odds [8/9/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: White Sox +1.5 @ -163 via Polymarket
- Moneyline: White Sox @ +104 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guardians vs. White Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: White Sox +1.5 @ -163 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: White Sox @ +104 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +100 via DraftKings According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Guardians vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the White Sox and Guardians at Rate Field is scheduled to begin at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
- Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: Rate Field
Conclusion
We predict the White Sox, with a 50.1% win probability, will likely beat the Guardians in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
