Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/7/2026]
Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks predictions for MLB Friday.

The Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at Chase Field on Friday, beginning at 9:40 PM ET.
Merrill Kelly (8-9, 5.04 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, up against Roki Sasaki (5-5, 4.64 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Dodgers a 58.4% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.
According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 51.8% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 63.8% chance of going over,.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds [8/7/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -102 via Novig
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +161 via Bet365
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -117 via Novig
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ -102 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +161 via Bet365
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -117 via Novig According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 9:40 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Friday, August 7, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
- Venue: Chase Field
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 58.4% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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