Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/7/2026]

The Arizona Diamondbacks will square off with the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at Chase Field on Friday, commencing at 9:40 PM ET.

Merrill Kelly (8-9, 5.04 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, while the Dodgers are going with Roki Sasaki (5-5, 4.64 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 58.8% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 52.0% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 60.7% chance of going over,.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds [8/7/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ +100 via Novig
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +167 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 9 @ +100 via Bet365

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ +167 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 9 @ +100 via Bet365 According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB game between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 9:40 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
• Date: Friday, August 7, 2026
• Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
• Venue: Chase Field

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 58.8% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.