MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Angels vs. Orioles play [8/5/2026]

Angels vs. Orioles Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Angels vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Angels vs. Orioles at +113 odds. A 54% probability produces an edge of 7.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Giants vs. Rangers Over 8 runs (-114)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Matchup: Giants vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)

Giants vs. Rangers over 8 runs carries a 5.7% edge and a probability of 58.9% at -114 odds, according to our model.

Red Sox -1.5 (+178)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 40.8%
• Matchup: White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Red Sox -1.5 vs. White Sox at +178 odds shows a 4.8% edge, supported by a 40.8% probability in simulations.

White Sox vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

A 4.7% edge and 52.8% probability make White Sox vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs a value play in the White Sox vs. Red Sox matchup, per our model.

Blue Jays vs. Astros Over 8 runs (-103)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Astros (2:10PM ET)

Blue Jays vs. Astros Over 8 runs at -103 odds presents a 4.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.2%.

Twins vs. Royals Over 9 runs (-106)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 9 runs in Twins vs. Royals at -106 odds, supported by an edge of 4.3%.

Pirates vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 50.1%
• Matchup: Pirates vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Pirates vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs at +117 odds. A 50.1% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Mets vs. Guardians Over 8.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)

A 3.9% edge on a 53.4% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +102 odds a solid value play in today's Mets vs. Guardians matchup.

Giants ML (+163)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 41.9%
• Matchup: Giants vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)

Our model projects value on Giants to win at +163 odds. A 41.9% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making Giants the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Marlins vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Marlins vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs at -113 odds shows a 56.9% probability and a 3.9% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Wednesday, 8/5/2026

As of 4:52AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/5/2026]

• Blue Jays vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Dodgers vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Wednesday)
• Giants vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rays vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Angels vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mets vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Athletics vs. Reds (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Nationals vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cardinals vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Wednesday)
• Twins vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Pirates vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Tigers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Padres vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 5, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Angels vs. Orioles matchup and over 8 runs in the Giants vs. Rangers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.