MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Orioles vs. Rangers play [8/7/2026]

Orioles vs. Rangers Over 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 59.1%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Rangers (8:15PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Orioles vs. Rangers at -108 odds. A 59.1% probability produces an edge of 7.1%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Twins ML (+163)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 45%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Twins ML carries a 7.0% edge and a probability of 45% at +163 odds, according to our model.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 6.4% edge, supported by a 52.5% probability in simulations.

Braves vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 52.1%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 6.0% edge and 52.1% probability make Braves vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs a value play in the Braves vs. Yankees matchup, per our model.

Twins vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Twins vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs at -117 odds presents a 5.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.8%.

White Sox +1.5 (-127)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 61.8%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on White Sox +1.5 at -127 odds, supported by an edge of 5.9%.

Athletics +1.5 (+120)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Athletics +1.5 at +120 odds. A 50.8% probability produces a 5.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Twins +1.5 (-138)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Matchup: Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

A 4.9% edge on a 62.8% probability makes Twins +1.5 at -138 odds a solid value play in today's Twins vs. Brewers matchup.

Diamondbacks ML (+170)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 41.9%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Our model projects value on Diamondbacks to win at +170 odds. A 41.9% probability produces a 4.8% edge, making Diamondbacks the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Athletics vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Athletics vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs at -113 odds shows a 57.8% probability and a 4.8% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Friday, 8/7/2026

As of 7:02AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/7/2026]

• Blue Jays vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Mets vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• Braves vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
• Athletics vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Angels vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Guardians vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• Twins vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Friday)
• Cubs vs. Royals (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Orioles vs. Rangers (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Rockies vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Astros vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Friday)
• Dodgers vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Friday)
• Rays vs. Mariners (9:45PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 7, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Rangers matchup and Twins ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.