MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Orioles vs. Twins play [8/10/2026]

Orioles vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Orioles vs. Twins at +104 odds. A 56.3% probability produces an edge of 7.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks over 8.5 runs carries a 6.7% edge and a probability of 57.7% at -104 odds, according to our model.

Mets vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Mets vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs at +104 odds shows a 5.5% edge, supported by a 54.5% probability in simulations.

Brewers vs. Padres over 7.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

A 5.5% edge and 51.5% probability make Brewers vs. Padres over 7.5 runs a value play in the Brewers vs. Padres matchup, per our model.

Rangers vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Matchup: Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Rangers vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs at +117 odds presents a 5.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 51.5%.

Athletics ML (+150)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Athletics to win at +150 odds, supported by an edge of 4.9%.

Royals vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Royals vs. Dodgers Over 7.5 runs at +100 odds. A 54.7% probability produces a 4.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

A 4.1% edge on a 52.2% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +108 odds a solid value play in today's Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup.

Twins ML (+109)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 51.8%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Our model projects value on Twins to win at +109 odds. A 51.8% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making Twins the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Giants ML (+143)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Matchup: Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Giants to defeat Astros at +143 odds shows a 44.9% probability and a 3.7% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 8/10/2026

As of 8:28AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/10/2026]

• Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Monday)
• Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Monday)
• Orioles vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Phillies vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Monday)
• Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Monday)
• Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Monday)
• Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 10, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Twins matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.