Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1900 pick for Friday [8/7/2026]

• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 20.7% probability
• Ben Rice (Yankees): 20.0%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 19.6%
• Jazz Chisholm (Yankees): 19.4%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 19.2%
• Spencer Jones (Yankees): 18.6%
• Trent Grisham (Yankees): 18.0%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.4%
• Austin Wells (Yankees): 17.2%
• José Ramírez (Guardians): 16.0%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.7% chance to go deep, followed by Ben Rice (20.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (19.6%).

Jazz Chisholm and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [8/7/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Oswald Peraza (Angels) to hit a home run

• Probability: 8.2%
• Odds: fanatics+1900
• Edge: 3.2%
• Pitching matchup: Tyler Phillips
• More game projections: Angels vs. Marlins prediction (7:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Oswald Peraza rates as a value play at +1900 with fanatics, showing a 3.2% edge.

With Tyler Phillips on the mound for the Marlins, the data supports Peraza as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 7, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Ben Rice and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Oswald Peraza who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.2% edge at +1900 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Friday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.