Home run predictions for Wednesday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker [7/29/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for July 29, 2026, are based on Wednesday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, July 29, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Wednesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for July 29, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +582.

Player (Team) HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 26.0%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 21.8%
Fernando Tatis (Padres) 20.5%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 19.5%
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) 19.4%
Yordan Alvarez (Astros) 19.1%
Manny Machado (Padres) 19.0%
Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers) 18.8%
Max Muncy (Dodgers) 18.6%
Jo Adell (Angels) 18.5%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.0% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (21.8%) and Fernando Tatis (20.5%).

Cal Raleigh and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Shohei Ohtani 2026.
Shohei Ohtani features in today's home run predictions on Wednesday, July 29, 2026.

Wednesday's home run picks [7/29/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +582 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.7% edge.

Against Mariners starter Emerson Hancock, the data supports Tucker as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

 

Pro users have access to a total of seven home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

 

Conclusion

For July 29, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Fernando Tatis projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.7% edge at +582 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Wednesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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