MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Joey Cantillo [8/4/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for August 5, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Joey Cantillo, Gabriel Hughes and Randy Vásquez.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Padres vs. D-Backs and Marlins vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Wednesday, 8/4
Sourced from 170+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 4, ranked by probability.
Joey Cantillo over 1.5 walks allowed (-194)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 73.4%
- Game: Mets vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET)
Our model has found value on Cleveland's Joey Cantillo over 1.5 walks allowed. A probability of 73.4% gives this play an edge of 7.4% at -194 odds.
Gabriel Hughes under 15.5 outs recorded (-162)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 70.6%
- Game: Rays vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Gabriel Hughes’s outs recorded prop shows a 70.6% probability and an 8.8% edge at -162 odds, according to our model.
Randy Vásquez over 1.5 earned runs (-165)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 70.5%
- Game: Padres vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Randy Vásquez over 1.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 70.5% probability and an 8.3% edge at -165.
Emerson Hancock under 5.5 strikeouts (-158)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 70.5%
- Game: Tigers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Emerson Hancock under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 70.5% probability and an edge of 9.2% at -158 odds.
Blade Tidwell over 3.5 strikeouts (-160)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 69.7%
- Game: Giants vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Blade Tidwell over 3.5 strikeouts for San Francisco, showing an edge of 8.1% at -160 odds.
Blade Tidwell over 1.5 walks allowed (-195)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 69.4%
- Game: Giants vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Blade Tidwell’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 3.3% at -195 odds, supported by a 69.4% probability according to our model.
Hunter Dobbins under 4.5 strikeouts (-165)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 69.2%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Hunter Dobbins under 4.5 strikeouts for St. Louis, with a 69.2% probability and a 6.9% edge at -165 odds.
Ryan Weathers under 5.5 hits allowed (-156)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 68.7%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
The data shows value on Ryan Weathers under 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 68.7% probability at -156 odds and an edge of 7.8%.
Trey Yesavage under 2.5 walks allowed (-143)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 67.6%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)
An 8.7% edge on the under 5.5 walks allowed line makes Trey Yesavage a value play in Blue Jays vs. Astros, supported by a 67.6% probability at -143 odds.
Javier Assad over 1.5 walks allowed (-142)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 67.3%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET)
Simulations show value on Javier Assad over 1.5 walks allowed here, with a 67.3% probability and 8.7% edge at -142 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:05AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets vs. Guardians | Joey Cantillo over 1.5 walks allowed | -194 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 73.4% |
| Rays vs. Rockies | Gabriel Hughes under 15.5 outs recorded | -162 @ FanDuel | 8.8% | 70.6% |
| Padres vs. D-Backs | Randy Vásquez over 1.5 earned runs | -165 @ DraftKings | 9.2% | 70.5% |
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Emerson Hancock under 5.5 strikeouts | -158 @ FanDuel | 9.2% | 70.5% |
| Giants vs. Rangers | Blade Tidwell over 3.5 strikeouts | -160 @ BetMGM | 8.1% | 69.7% |
| Giants vs. Rangers | Blade Tidwell over 1.5 walks allowed | -195 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 69.4% |
| Cardinals vs. Yankees | Hunter Dobbins under 4.5 strikeouts | -165 @ Fanatics | 6.9% | 69.2% |
| Cardinals vs. Yankees | Ryan Weathers under 5.5 hits allowed | -156 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 68.7% |
| Blue Jays vs. Astros | Trey Yesavage under 2.5 walks allowed | -143 @ DraftKings | 8.7% | 67.6% |
| Dodgers vs. Cubs | Javier Assad over 1.5 walks allowed | -142 @ DraftKings | 8.7% | 67.3% |
Conclusion
For August 4, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Joey Cantillo, Gabriel Hughes and Randy Vásquez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
