MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Framber Valdez [8/6/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for August 6, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Framber Valdez, Ranger Suarez and Bailey Ober.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Padres vs. D-Backs and Marlins vs. Braves—and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Thursday, 8/6
Sourced from 85+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for August 6, ranked by probability.
Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-153)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 69.2%
- Game: Tigers vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on Detroit's Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.2% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at -153 odds.
Ranger Suarez over 4.5 hits allowed (-159)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 64.6%
- Game: White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
Ranger Suarez’s hits allowed prop shows a 64.6% probability and an 3.2% edge at -159 odds, according to our model.
Bailey Ober over 3.5 strikeouts (-139)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 63.5%
- Game: Twins vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Bailey Ober over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.5% probability and a 5.3% edge at -139.
Dylan Cease under 18.5 outs recorded (-147)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
Our model finds value on Dylan Cease under 18.5 outs recorded, with a 63.1% probability and an edge of 3.6% at -147 odds.
Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts (-122)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 62.8%
- Game: Twins vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts for Kansas City, showing an edge of 7.8% at -122 odds.
Bryce Miller under 5.5 strikeouts (-112)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 62.4%
- Game: Tigers vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)
Bryce Miller’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 9.6% at -112 odds, supported by a 62.4% probability according to our model.
Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts (-138)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 61.9%
- Game: Mets vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts for Cleveland, with a 61.9% probability and a 3.9% edge at -138 odds.
Colton Cowser to get a hit (-140)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: Angels vs. Orioles (12:35PM ET)
The data shows value on Colton Cowser to get a hit, supported by a 61.0% probability at -140 odds and an edge of 2.7%.
Luis Castillo over 15.5 outs recorded (-116)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: White Sox vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
A 7.3% edge on the over 0.5 outs recorded line makes Luis Castillo a value play in White Sox vs. Red Sox, supported by a 61.0% probability at -116 odds.
Bryce Harper over 1.5 bases (-120)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 59.0%
- Game: Nationals vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET)
Simulations show value on Bryce Harper over 1.5 bases here, with a 59.0% probability and 4.4% edge at -120 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, August 6, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:19AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts | -153 @ DraftKings | 8.8% | 69.2% |
| White Sox vs. Red Sox | Ranger Suarez over 4.5 hits allowed | -159 @ DraftKings | 3.2% | 64.6% |
| Twins vs. Royals | Bailey Ober over 3.5 strikeouts | -139 @ DraftKings | 3.6% | 63.1% |
| Blue Jays vs. Cubs | Dylan Cease under 18.5 outs recorded | -147 @ DraftKings | 3.6% | 63.1% |
| Twins vs. Royals | Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts | -122 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 62.8% |
| Tigers vs. Mariners | Bryce Miller under 5.5 strikeouts | -112 @ DraftKings | 9.6% | 62.4% |
| Mets vs. Guardians | Foster Griffin under 5.5 strikeouts | -138 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 61.9% |
| Angels vs. Orioles | Colton Cowser to get a hit | -140 @ DraftKings | 2.7% | 61.0% |
| White Sox vs. Red Sox | Luis Castillo over 15.5 outs recorded | -116 @ DraftKings | 7.3% | 61.0% |
| Nationals vs. Phillies | Bryce Harper over 1.5 bases | -120 @ Fanatics | 4.4% | 59.0% |
Conclusion
For August 6, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Framber Valdez, Ranger Suarez and Bailey Ober. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
