Mets vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/10/2026]
Get New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves predictions for MLB Monday.
The Atlanta Braves will face the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Truist Park on Monday, beginning at 7:15 PM ET.
Bryce Elder (8-6, 3.70 ERA) will be on the bump for the Braves, while the Mets are going with Christian Scott (3-3, 3.15 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Braves a slight edge with a 54.7% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Mets vs. Braves matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Braves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Braves a 54.7% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 61.7% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 56.9% chance of going over,.
Mets vs. Braves odds [8/10/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-150) / Braves -1.5 (+147)
- Moneyline: Mets +135, Braves -133
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Braves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -150 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ +135 via Bet365
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +104 via Polymarket
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Braves game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Braves and Mets at Truist Park is scheduled to begin at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Truist Park
Conclusion
We predict the Braves, with a 54.7% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
