Yankees vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/31/2026]
Get New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Friday.
The Chicago Cubs and New York Yankees will lock horns in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Friday, starting at 2:20 PM ET.
The Cubs will have Shota Imanaga (7-8, 3.72 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Will Warren (7-5, 4.41 ERA) for the Yankees.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Cubs as the most likely winner in this Yankees vs. Cubs prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Cubs a 57.0% chance of beating the Yankees.
According to our model, the Yankees (+1.5) have a 61.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 53.5% chance of staying under,.
Yankees vs. Cubs odds [7/31/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-150) | -1.5 (+146) |
| Moneyline | +141 | -144 |
| Total | o9.5 (+115) | u9.5 (-117) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Cubs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees +1.5 | -150 |
| Moneyline | Yankees | +141 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | +115 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Yankees to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB game between the Cubs and Yankees at Wrigley Field is scheduled to start at 2:20 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 2:20 PM ET/11:20AM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 57.0% win probability, will likely beat the Yankees in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
