Yankees vs. Cubs prediction: Why Yankees are favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/2/2026]
Get New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Sunday.
MLB action continues on Sunday at 2:20 PM ET as the New York Yankees take on the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field.
The Cubs will send Colin Rea (8-7, 4.68 ERA) to the mound, up against Gerrit Cole (4-5, 3.57 ERA) for the Yankees.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 53.4% win probability over the Cubs.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Yankees vs. Cubs matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Yankees a 53.4% chance of defeating the Cubs.
According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 60.3% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 59.9% chance of going over,.
Yankees vs. Cubs odds [8/2/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+156) | +1.5 (-156) |
| Moneyline | -122 | +122 |
| Total | o6.5 (-108) | u6.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Cubs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | +156 |
| Moneyline | Cubs | +122 |
| Total | Over 6.5 | -108 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Yankees at Wrigley Field is scheduled to start at 2:20 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Sunday, August 2, 2026
- Time: 2:20 PM ET/11:20AM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 53.4% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
