Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Pirates MLB game on July 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cubs
Matthew Boyd 6-1, 4.15 ERA
3
2
Jul 24, 6:40 PM ET PNC Park
Pirates
Jared Jones 2-1, 4.05 ERA
Jul 24, 6:40 PM ET PNC Park
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Cubs
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 6 0
Pirates
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Pirates
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Bryan Reynolds lines out to deep right field to Seiya Suzuki.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4121102.5002.100
2 S. Suzuki RF4001011.0000.200
3 M. Busch 1B5000002.0000.000
4 A. Bregman 3B3000010.0000.250
5 I. Happ LF4110002.2500.500
6 N. Hoerner 2B4010001.2500.500
7 P. Ramirez DH4110001.2500.500
8 M. Amaya C0000000.0000.000
9 D. Swanson SS4011002.2500.500
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Mangum CF5020000.4000.800
2 N. Gonzales 3B5011000.2000.400
3 B. Reynolds LF5000002.0000.000
4 E. Valdez RF4000001.0000.000
5 R. O'Hearn 1B4020001.5001.000
6 M. Ozuna DH3100010.0000.250
7 B. Lowe 2B3000011.0000.250
8 J. Triolo SS4010001.2500.500
9 H. Davis C3121010.6671.417

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Cubs vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cubs vs. Pirates
  • Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cubs +100, Pirates -102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cubs: 49%
  • Pirates: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 49%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at PNC Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.