Braves vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Braves vs. Phillies MLB game on Saturday, September 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Braves
Martín Pérez 8-8, 3.05 ERA
2
4
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 11-5, 3.32 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Braves
0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 5 0
Phillies
2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 X 4 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Braves
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ozzie Albies grounds out to first base to Alec Bohm.
Quick Box Score
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Baldwin C4020001.5001.000
2 R. Acuña RF4121101.5001.750
3 M. Olson 1B3000012.0000.250
4 M. Harris CF4000002.0000.000
5 M. Dubón LF4000002.0000.000
6 O. Albies 2B4000000.0000.000
7 D. Smith DH2000010.0000.333
8 A. Riley 3B3111102.3331.666
9 H. Kim SS3000002.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH3222120.6672.467
2 T. Turner SS4110010.2500.650
3 B. Harper RF4020000.5001.000
4 L. Arraez 2B4021000.5001.000
5 A. Bohm 1B3000011.0000.250
6 B. Marsh LF0000000.0000.000
7 J. Realmuto C3001012.0000.250
8 B. Stott 3B4000002.0000.000
9 D. Hill CF4120001.5001.500

Braves vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 6:05PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Braves (+1.5, -144), Phillies (-1.5, +141)
  • Moneyline: Braves +150, Phillies -153
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+111/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Braves: 40.6%
  • Phillies: 59.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Braves a win probability of 40.6%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 59.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Braves in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Braves vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.