Yankees vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
- Yankees
- Padres
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Goldschmidt | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 2 | C. Bellinger | LF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 3 | R. McMahon | 3B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 4 | B. Rice | DH | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 5 | J. Domínguez | RF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | G. Lombard | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 7 | S. Jones | CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 8 | J. Caballero | 2B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 9 | A. Wells | C | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 3 | M. Machado | 3B | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .500 | 2.750 |
| 4 | T. France | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 5 | J. Merrill | CF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 6 | L. Campusano | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 7 | A. Hays | PH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 8 | J. Bowen | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | S. Taylor | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
Yankees vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Saturday
- Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 7:15PM ET
- Venue: Petco Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Yankees (+1.5, -186), Padres (-1.5, +182)
- Moneyline: Yankees +122, Padres -122
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-106/+104)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Yankees: 46.6%
- Padres: 53.4%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 46.6%, while the Padres have a win probability of 53.4%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Petco Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Yankees vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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