Phillies vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Mets MLB game on Sunday, September 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 17-6, 2.93 ERA
7
2
Citi Field
Mets
Jonah Tong 2-1, 3.43 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
2 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 7 7 0
Mets
0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Francisco Lindor flies out to right field to Derek Hill.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH1200040.0000.800
2 T. Turner SS3111022.3331.267
3 D. Hill RF0000000.0000.000
4 L. Arraez 2B4012000.2500.450
5 A. Bohm 1B5021000.4000.800
6 B. Stott 3B4100010.0000.200
7 B. Marsh LF4110003.2500.500
8 J. Realmuto C2100022.0000.500
9 J. Crawford CF4013001.2501.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS5000002.0000.000
2 J. Soto LF4010001.2500.500
3 B. Bichette 3B4111101.2501.250
4 M. Vientos 1B4010001.2500.750
5 C. Benge RF4010001.2500.500
6 M. Semien 2B4000000.0000.000
7 F. Alvarez C4120001.5001.000
8 A. Ewing CF20200001.0002.000
9 C. Morel PH1000000.0000.000

Phillies vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Time: 1:10PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +125), Mets (+1.5, -115)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -144, Mets +150
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 56.4%
  • Mets: 43.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 56.4%, while the Mets have a win probability of 43.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Citi Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.