Nationals vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Cardinals MLB game on Sunday, September 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
Nationals
Jake Irvin 2-9, 5.51 ERA
3
5
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Quinn Mathews 2-3, 3.62 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 7 1
Cardinals
1 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 X 5 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Cardinals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Keibert Ruiz grounds out to first base to Alec Burleson.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wood DH4000002.0000.000
2 A. Ortiz 1B1000000.0000.000
3 J. Vivas 3B1000001.0000.000
4 C. Abrams 2B4112101.2501.250
5 D. Crews RF4000000.0000.000
6 D. Lile LF4120000.5001.250
7 K. Ruiz PH1000000.0000.000
8 J. Young CF2011000.5000.833
9 N. Nuñez SS3000000.0000.000
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4011000.2500.500
2 I. Herrera DH4222201.5002.500
3 A. Burleson 1B4000001.0000.000
4 J. Walker RF3100011.0000.250
5 L. Bernal C3112111.3331.833
6 T. Saggese 3B4000002.0000.000
7 M. Winn SS0000000.0000.000
8 V. Scott LF0000000.0000.000
9 N. Church CF3000001.0000.000

Nationals vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Time: 2:15PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Nationals (+1.5, -170), Cardinals (-1.5, +167)
  • Moneyline: Nationals +117, Cardinals -120
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-113/+111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Nationals: 44.9%
  • Cardinals: 55.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 44.9%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 55.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cardinals are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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