Red Sox vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Rays MLB game on Sunday, September 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Red Sox
Patrick Sandoval 1-6, 4.99 ERA
1
5
Tropicana Field
Rays
Griffin Jax 7-10, 3.80 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 0
Rays
4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 X 5 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran grounds out to shallow infield, Taylor Walls to Ryan Vilade.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Anthony LF4020001.5001.250
2 J. Jones DH1000001.0000.000
3 A. Rutschman C4010001.2500.500
4 T. Story SS4111101.2501.250
5 N. Sogard 1B4000002.0000.000
6 C. Durbin 3B4020001.5001.000
7 J. Duran CF3000010.0000.250
8 I. Kiner-Falefa 2B3000000.0000.000
9 N. Eaton RF2000010.0000.333
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH3100010.0000.250
2 R. Vilade 1B3100001.0000.250
3 J. Caminero 3B4110001.2500.500
4 J. DeLuca CF4112002.2500.750
5 C. Simpson LF3012000.3330.666
6 B. Williamson 2B3000000.0000.000
7 N. Fortes C3000002.0000.000
8 V. Mesa RF2111110.5002.667
9 T. Walls SS3000001.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Time: 1:40PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (+1.5, -156), Rays (-1.5, +150)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox +138, Rays -141
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+108/-106)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 44.4%
  • Rays: 55.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 44.4%, while the Rays have a win probability of 55.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.