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Read Article Columbus Crew vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Columbus Crew vs New York City predictions for MLS Wednesday.
Columbus will face NY City in MLS action at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Columbus as the most likely winner of the Columbus vs. NY City game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Columbus Crew vs. New York City prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Columbus and NY City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 47.7% chance of Columbus winning, a 27.8% chance for NY City, and a 24.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53.4% chance of going over, according to our model.
Columbus Crew vs. New York City odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Columbus | NY City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +125 | +260 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | +100 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Columbus Crew vs. New York City picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Columbus @ +125 via Bet365
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -110 via ESPN BET
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Columbus to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Columbus Crew vs. New York City: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| COL 1-1 NYC | 11.6% |
| COL 1-0 NYC | 9.8% |
| COL 2-1 NYC | 9.4% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Columbus Crew vs. New York City game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between Columbus and NY City in MLS at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Columbus Crew vs. New York City
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Columbus has a 47.7% win probability on Wednesday, NY City has a 27.8% win probability, and there is a 24.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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