Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United prediction, odds, MLS Cup Wildcard Round picks [10/24/2026]

Houston will face Minnesota in the MLS Cup Wildcard Round at Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Houston as the most likely winner in this Houston vs. Minnesota prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Houston and Minnesota, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 48.0% chance of Houston winning, a 28.0% chance for Minnesota, and a 24.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55.9% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Minnesota +230, Houston +125
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+147)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup Wildcard Round

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Houston @ +125 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +147 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Houston 1-1 Minnesota (11.2% probability)
• Houston 2-1 Minnesota (9.5%)
• Houston 1-0 Minnesota (9.1%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between Houston and Minnesota in MLS at Shell Energy Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30 PM PT
• Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Houston has a 48.0% win probability on Saturday, Minnesota has a 28.0% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.