FC Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction, odds, MLS Cup Wildcard Round picks [10/24/2026]

Dallas will square off with San Jose in the MLS Cup Wildcard Round at Toyota Stadium on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Dallas as the most likely winner in this Dallas vs. San Jose prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

FC Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Dallas and San Jose, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 55.5% chance of Dallas winning, a 23.5% chance for San Jose, and a 20.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66.3% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: San Jose +310, Dallas -113
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-203/+186)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup Wildcard Round

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Dallas @ -113 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -203 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dallas to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Dallas win being the most probable:

• Dallas 2-1 San Jose (9.5% probability)
• Dallas 1-1 San Jose (9.1%)
• Dallas 2-0 San Jose (7.3%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Dallas and San Jose in MLS at Toyota Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: FC Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30 PM PT
• Venue: Toyota Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Dallas has a 55.5% win probability on Saturday, San Jose has a 23.5% win probability, and there is a 20.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.