Sporting Kansas City vs. Austin FC prediction, odds, MLS Cup Wildcard Round picks [10/24/2026]

MLS Cup action continues on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET as Austin squares off with Sporting KC in the Wildcard Round at .

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Sporting KC as the most likely winner in this Sporting KC vs. Austin prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sporting Kansas City vs. Austin FC prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Sporting KC and Austin, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 45.6% chance of Sporting KC winning, a 32.0% chance for Austin, and a 22.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 65.9% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Austin +200, Sporting KC +133
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+186)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup Wildcard Round

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Sporting KC @ +133 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -190 via Novig

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Sporting KC to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Sporting KC 1-1 Austin (9.6% probability)
• Sporting KC 2-1 Austin (8.9%)
• Sporting KC 1-2 Austin (7.3%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between Sporting KC and Austin is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Sporting Kansas City vs. Austin FC
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30 PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sporting KC has a 45.6% win probability on Saturday, Austin has a 32.0% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.