Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution prediction, odds, MLS Cup Wildcard Round picks [10/24/2026]

MLS Cup action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as New England squares off with Philadelphia in the Wildcard Round at Subaru Park.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner in this Philadelphia vs. New England prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Philadelphia and New England, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 67.4% chance of Philadelphia winning, a 15.0% chance for New England, and a 17.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 68.8% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: New England +490, Philadelphia -180
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-233/+213)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup Wildcard Round

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Philadelphia @ -180 via Fanatics
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +213 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Philadelphia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Philadelphia win being the most probable:

• Philadelphia 2-1 New England (9.5% probability)
• Philadelphia 2-0 New England (8.7%)
• Philadelphia 3-1 New England (7.8%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Philadelphia and New England in MLS at Subaru Park is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30 PM PT
• Venue: Subaru Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Philadelphia has a 67.4% win probability on Saturday, New England has a 15.0% win probability, and there is a 17.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.