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Read Article Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas predictions for MLS Wednesday.
Portland and Dallas will lock horns in MLS action at Providence Park on Wednesday, with kickoff at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model projects Portland as the most likely winner of the Portland vs. Dallas game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Portland and Dallas, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 46.8% chance of Portland winning, a 31.4% chance for Dallas, and a 21.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 68.4% chance of going over, according to our model.
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Portland | Dallas | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +135 | +200 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -250 | +188 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Portland @ +135 via ESPN BET
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -250 via Bet365
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Portland to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| POT 1-1 DAL | 9% |
| POT 2-1 DAL | 8.8% |
| POT 1-2 DAL | 7.1% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between Portland and Dallas in MLS at Providence Park is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Providence Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Portland has a 46.8% win probability on Wednesday, Dallas has a 31.4% win probability, and there is a 21.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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