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Read Article San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City predictions for MLS Wednesday.
San Jose will face Orlando in MLS action at PayPal Park on Wednesday, beginning at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects San Jose as the most likely winner of the San Jose vs. Orlando game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between San Jose and Orlando, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 65.4% chance of San Jose winning, a 17.6% chance for Orlando, and a 17.0% chance of a draw.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Market | San Jose | Orlando | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -149 | +400 | +360 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: San Jose @ -149 via ESPN BET
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is San Jose to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 San Jose win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SJE 2-1 ORL | 8.5% |
| SJE 3-1 ORL | 7.7% |
| SJE 1-1 ORL | 6.3% |
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between San Jose and Orlando in MLS at PayPal Park is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: PayPal Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, San Jose has a 65.4% win probability on Wednesday, Orlando has a 17.6% win probability, and there is a 17.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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