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Read Article Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers predictions for MLS Thursday.
Seattle will take on Portland in MLS action at Lumen Field on Thursday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Seattle as the most likely winner of the Seattle vs. Portland game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLS game between Seattle and Portland, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 62.2% chance of Seattle winning, a 17.7% chance for Portland, and a 20.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61.8% chance of going over, according to our model.
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Seattle | Portland | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -179 | +460 | +380 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -225 | +170 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Portland @ +460 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +170 via Bet365
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Seattle win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SEA 2-1 POT | 9.9% |
| SEA 2-0 POT | 9.4% |
| SEA 1-1 POT | 9.3% |
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between Seattle and Portland in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers
- Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Lumen Field
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Seattle has a 62.2% win probability on Thursday, Portland has a 17.7% win probability, and there is a 20.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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