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Read Article Cavaliers vs. Knicks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 11, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Cavaliers vs. Knicks predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The New York Knicks are favored to beat the Cleveland Cavaliers at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Cavaliers vs. Knicks prediction gives New York a 61.8% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Cavaliers to cover at +4.5.
Cavaliers vs. Knicks key predictions
- Predicted score: Knicks 113-109 Cavaliers
- Knicks win probability: 61.8%
- Cavaliers win probability: 38.2%
- Cavaliers +4.5 spread: 54.0% cover probability
- Over 222.5 points: 51.4% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Cavaliers vs. Knicks odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Cavaliers moneyline: 37¢ (Novig)
- Knicks moneyline: 64¢ (Novig)
- Cavaliers +4.5: 50¢ (Polymarket)
- Knicks -4.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Over 222.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
- Under 222.5 points: 50¢ (Polymarket)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Cavaliers vs. Knicks pick: Cavaliers +4.5 (50¢)
Our model makes the Knicks the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Cavaliers to cover the +4.5 spread at 50¢ on Polymarket.
Those odds give Cavaliers an implied cover probability of 50.0%, while our model puts it at 54.0%.
That's a 4.0% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Cavaliers vs. Knicks player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Knicks star Jalen Brunson leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 24.1 points, plus 6.5 assists and 2.8 rebounds. The Knicks have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Cavaliers' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Jalen Brunson (Knicks): 24.1 points
- Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): 22.5
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks): 19.6
- OG Anunoby (Knicks): 17.2
- James Harden (Cavaliers): 16.4
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Cavaliers vs. Knicks prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Cavaliers vs. Knicks predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Cavaliers vs. Knicks game details
- Matchup: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New York Knicks
- Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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