Nov 11, 2026
NBA first basket predictions and picks for Wednesday, November 11, 2026
Read Article Wizards vs. Pacers prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 11, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Wizards vs. Pacers predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Indiana Pacers are favored to beat the Washington Wizards at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Wizards vs. Pacers prediction gives Indiana a 56.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Wizards to cover at +2.5.
Wizards vs. Pacers key predictions
- Predicted score: Pacers 114-112 Wizards
- Pacers win probability: 56.6%
- Wizards win probability: 43.4%
- Wizards +2.5 spread: 52.3% cover probability
- Under 227.5 points: 51.1% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Wizards vs. Pacers odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Wizards moneyline: 43¢ (Novig)
- Pacers moneyline: 57¢ (Novig)
- Wizards +2.5: 49¢ (Polymarket)
- Pacers -2.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Over 227.5 points: 51¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 227.5 points: 49¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Wizards vs. Pacers pick: Wizards +2.5 (49¢)
Our model makes the Pacers the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Wizards to cover the +2.5 spread at 49¢ on Polymarket.
Those odds give Wizards an implied cover probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 52.3%.
That's a 3.2% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Wizards vs. Pacers player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Pacers star Pascal Siakam leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 24.9 points, plus 6.9 rebounds and 4.3 assists. The Wizards have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Pacers' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Pascal Siakam (Pacers): 24.9 points
- Anthony Davis (Wizards): 23.4
- Trae Young (Wizards): 20.8
- Andrew Nembhard (Pacers): 16.9
- AJ Dybantsa (Wizards): 16.8
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Wizards vs. Pacers prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Wizards vs. Pacers predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Wizards vs. Pacers game details
- Matchup: Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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