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Read Article Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 11, 2026
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Written by Dimers Data
Our Nuggets vs. Grizzlies predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Denver Nuggets are favored to beat the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Wednesday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction gives Denver a 66.4% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Nuggets moneyline, too.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies key predictions
- Predicted score: Nuggets 117-112 Grizzlies
- Nuggets win probability: 66.4%
- Grizzlies win probability: 33.6%
- Nuggets -4.5 spread: 52.8% cover probability
- Under 230.5 points: 50.5% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Nuggets moneyline: 61¢ (Novig)
- Grizzlies moneyline: 40¢ (Novig)
- Nuggets -4.5: -102 (BetMGM)
- Grizzlies +4.5: -118 (BetMGM)
- Over 230.5 points: 50¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 230.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies pick: Nuggets ML (61¢)
Our model makes the Nuggets the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Nuggets moneyline at 61¢ on Novig, too.
Those odds give Nuggets an implied win probability of 60.9%, while our model puts it at 66.4%.
That's a 5.5% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Nuggets star Nikola Jokic leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 26.3 points, plus 12.9 rebounds and 10.6 assists. The Grizzlies have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Nuggets' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 26.3 points
- Jamal Murray (Nuggets): 23.6
- Ty Jerome (Grizzlies): 22.6
- Cameron Boozer (Grizzlies): 16.6
- Cedric Coward (Grizzlies): 15.0
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Nuggets vs. Grizzlies prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Nuggets vs. Grizzlies predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies game details
- Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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