Adelaide Crows vs. Western Bulldogs prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 26 matchup [9/5/2026]

The Adelaide Crows will square off with the Western Bulldogs in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, commencing at 5:35 AM ET.

Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Crows as the most likely winner in this Bulldogs vs. Crows prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Crows vs. Bulldogs prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Bulldogs and Crows, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Crows a 71.6% chance of beating the Bulldogs.

According to our model, the Bulldogs (+19.5) have a 52.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 173.5 points has a 51.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Bulldogs +225, Crows -294
• Total: Over/Under 173.5 (-115/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Bulldogs +19.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Bulldogs @ +225 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 173.5 @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bulldogs +19.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first bounce details

Saturday's Australian rules football game between the Crows and Bulldogs at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 5:35 AM ET.

• Who: Western Bulldogs vs. Adelaide Crows
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
• Venue: Adelaide Oval

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Crows, with a 71.6% win probability, will likely beat the Bulldogs in Saturday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.