Browns vs. Buccaneers prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win in NFL Week 2 [2026]

Since our Browns-Buccaneers predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Browns and Buccaneers, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Buccaneers a 74.7% chance of defeating the Browns in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Buccaneers winning 24-16.

Key factors favoring the Buccaneers:

• Cleveland Browns Offensive Efficiency
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers Power Rankings
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Match-up Differential

According to our model, the Buccaneers (-7.5) have a 51.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has a 51.7% chance of staying under.

The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:

• Cleveland Browns Form
• Weather / Conditions

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 2 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Browns +7.5 (+102) / Buccaneers -7.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Browns +376, Buccaneers -388
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-102/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Buccaneers -7.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Browns @ 21¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Under 41.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Browns to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Browns vs. Buccaneers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Browns vs. Buccaneers?

According to our model, Bucky Irving is most likely to score an anytime TD in Browns vs. Buccaneers.

Our projections give Irving a 44.9% chance of scoring a TD at Raymond James Stadium, while the running back is an 11.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Cleveland Browns

• Quinshon Judkins (RB): 39.9% probability
• Harold Fannin (TE): 23.3%
• KC Concepcion (WR): 21.9%
• Denzel Boston (WR): 20.9%
• Jerry Jeudy (WR): 16.4%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 44.9% prob.
• Emeka Egbuka (WR): 32.9%
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 27.1%
• Chris Godwin (WR): 26.1%
• Jalen McMillan (WR): 20.8%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Cleveland Browns

• Quinshon Judkins (RB): 9.5% prob.
• Harold Fannin (TE): 5.0%
• KC Concepcion (WR): 4.6%
• Denzel Boston (WR): 4.4%
• Jerry Jeudy (WR): 3.3%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Bucky Irving (RB): 11.5% prob.
• Emeka Egbuka (WR): 7.7%
• Kenny Gainwell (RB): 6.1%
• Chris Godwin (WR): 5.8%
• Jalen McMillan (WR): 4.5%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Browns and Buccaneers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 2 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Browns' Deshaun Watson is projected to have a quiet game with 184 passing yards, while the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 215 yards.

Browns rushing

• Quinshon Judkins: 49 yds
• Deshaun Watson: 25 yds
• Raheim Sanders: 15 yds

Buccaneers rushing

• Bucky Irving: 64 yds
• Kenny Gainwell: 29 yds
• Baker Mayfield: 19 yds

Browns receiving

• KC Concepcion: 39 yds
• Harold Fannin: 38 yds
• Denzel Boston: 36 yds
• Jerry Jeudy: 34 yds
• Quinshon Judkins: 15 yds

Buccaneers receiving

• Emeka Egbuka: 57 yds
• Chris Godwin: 44 yds
• Cade Otton: 31 yds
• Jalen McMillan: 30 yds
• Bucky Irving: 20 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 2 game between the Buccaneers and Browns at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium

NFL Week 2 promo

Make the most of Dimers' Browns vs. Buccaneers predictions by exploring the offer below — Polymarket code "DIMERS" securing a $50 bonus on a $10 first deposit:

Plus, check out the latest details on the current offer from Kalshi.

Conclusion

We predict the Buccaneers, with a 74.7% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 2 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.