Broncos vs. Panthers prediction: Why Denver is favored to win in NFL Week 9 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 57.1% win probability for the Broncos at Bank of America Stadium.

The Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos are scheduled to meet in Week 9 of the NFL season at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Broncos as the most likely winner in this Broncos vs. Panthers prediction.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Broncos vs. Panthers prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives the Broncos a 57.1% chance of beating the Panthers in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 23-21.
Key factors favoring the Broncos:
- Broncos team rating
- Panthers offense
- Panthers defense
According to our model, the Panthers (+2.5) have a 51.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Broncos -2.5 (-111) / Panthers +2.5 (+108)
- Moneyline: Broncos -138, Panthers +138
- Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-102/+100)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Panthers +2.5 @ 48¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Panthers @ 42¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Under 44.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Panthers +2.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Broncos vs. Panthers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Broncos vs. Panthers?
According to our model, Chuba Hubbard is most likely to score an anytime TD in Broncos vs. Panthers.
Our projections give Hubbard a 49.8% chance of getting in for six at Bank of America Stadium, while the running back is a 13.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Denver Broncos
- Jonah Coleman (RB): 47.3% probability
- J.K. Dobbins (RB): 28.9%
- Jaylen Waddle (WR): 26.5%
- Courtland Sutton (WR): 24.3%
- Bo Nix (QB): 18.7%
Carolina Panthers
- Chuba Hubbard (RB): 49.8% prob.
- Jalen Coker (WR): 31.4%
- Tetairoa McMillan (WR): 28.7%
- Darren Waller (TE): 19.7%
- Bryce Young (QB): 16.1%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Denver Broncos
- Jonah Coleman (RB): 11.2% prob.
- J.K. Dobbins (RB): 6.0%
- Jaylen Waddle (WR): 5.4%
- Courtland Sutton (WR): 4.9%
- Bo Nix (QB): 3.6%
Carolina Panthers
- Chuba Hubbard (RB): 13.1% prob.
- Jalen Coker (WR): 7.2%
- Tetairoa McMillan (WR): 6.4%
- Darren Waller (TE): 4.2%
- Bryce Young (QB): 3.3%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Broncos and Panthers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 215 passing yards, while the Panthers' Bryce Young is expected to throw for 233 yards.
Broncos rushing
- Jonah Coleman: 58 yds
- J.K. Dobbins: 32 yds
- Bo Nix: 17 yds
Panthers rushing
- Chuba Hubbard: 71 yds
- Bryce Young: 15 yds
- Trevor Etienne: 9 yds
Broncos receiving
- Jaylen Waddle: 53 yds
- Courtland Sutton: 40 yds
- Pat Bryant: 26 yds
- Jonah Coleman: 26 yds
- Evan Engram: 22 yds
Panthers receiving
- Tetairoa McMillan: 65 yds
- Jalen Coker: 58 yds
- Darren Waller: 24 yds
- Tommy Tremble: 21 yds
- Chuba Hubbard: 21 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 9 matchup between the Panthers and Broncos at Bank of America Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers
- Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
- Venue: Bank of America Stadium
NFL Week 9 promo
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Conclusion
We predict the Broncos, with a 57.1% win probability, will likely beat the Panthers in Week 9 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



