Packers vs. Jets prediction favors Green Bay to win in NFL Week 2 [2026]

The New York Jets will take on the Green Bay Packers in NFL Week 2 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Packers as the most likely winner in this Packers vs. Jets prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Packers vs. Jets prediction and odds

Since our Packers-Jets predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Packers and Jets, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Packers a 63.2% chance of defeating the Jets in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 23-20.

Key factors favoring the Packers:

• Green Bay Packers Offensive Efficiency
• New York Jets Offensive Efficiency
• Green Bay Packers Power Rankings

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Packers and Jets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 51.9% chance of staying under.

The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:

• New York Jets Form
• Green Bay Packers Form

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 2 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Packers -3.5 (+108) / Jets +3.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Packers -163, Jets +163
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (+100/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Packers -3.5 @ 48¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Packers @ 62¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Under 44.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Packers -3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Packers vs. Jets TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Packers vs. Jets?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 2, Breece Hall is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Packers vs. Jets.

Our projections give Hall a 42.5% chance of scoring a TD at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is an 11.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Green Bay Packers

• MarShawn Lloyd (RB): 39.4% probability
• Christian Watson (WR): 37.2%
• Tucker Kraft (TE): 34.4%
• Chris Brooks (RB): 29.8%
• Matthew Golden (WR): 28.4%

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 42.5% prob.
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 34.3%
• Braelon Allen (RB): 22.3%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 20.6%
• Kenyon Sadiq (TE): 14.8%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Green Bay Packers

• MarShawn Lloyd (RB): 8.7% prob.
• Christian Watson (WR): 8.1%
• Tucker Kraft (TE): 7.3%
• Chris Brooks (RB): 6.2%
• Matthew Golden (WR): 5.8%

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 11.5% prob.
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 8.7%
• Braelon Allen (RB): 5.2%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 4.8%
• Kenyon Sadiq (TE): 3.3%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Packers and Jets. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 2 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected for 255 passing yards, while the Jets' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 209 yards.

Packers rushing

• MarShawn Lloyd: 54 yds
• Chris Brooks: 30 yds
• Jordan Love: 12 yds

Jets rushing

• Breece Hall: 68 yds
• Braelon Allen: 27 yds
• Geno Smith: 11 yds

Packers receiving

• Christian Watson: 65 yds
• Matthew Golden: 54 yds
• Tucker Kraft: 45 yds
• Jayden Reed: 43 yds
• Jonnu Smith: 17 yds

Jets receiving

• Garrett Wilson: 72 yds
• Adonai Mitchell: 39 yds
• Kenyon Sadiq: 24 yds
• Mason Taylor: 23 yds
• Breece Hall: 21 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 2 action between the Jets and Packers at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Green Bay Packers vs. New York Jets
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: MetLife Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with a 63.2% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 2 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.