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Read Article Raiders vs. Chargers prediction favors Chargers to win in NFL Week 2 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Editor
Dimers' simulation model projects a 70.8% win probability for the Chargers at SoFi Stadium.
NFL Week 2 action continues on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET as the Las Vegas Raiders face off with the favored Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium.
Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Chargers as the most likely winner in this Raiders vs. Chargers prediction.
This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Raiders vs. Chargers prediction and odds
Since our Raiders-Chargers predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Raiders and Chargers, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.
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Our famous predictive model gives the Chargers a 70.8% chance of beating the Raiders in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 24-18.
Key factors favoring the Chargers:
- Las Vegas Raiders Offensive Efficiency
- Los Angeles Chargers Power Rankings
- Los Angeles Chargers Home Ground Advantage
According to our model, the Raiders (+6.5) have a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 52.1% chance of staying under.
The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:
- Los Angeles Chargers Form
- Las Vegas Raiders Form
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 2 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Raiders +6.5 (+102) / Chargers -6.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Raiders +257, Chargers -264
- Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-102/+100)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Raiders +6.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Raiders @ 28¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 43.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Raiders +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Raiders vs. Chargers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Raiders vs. Chargers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 2, Omarion Hampton is most likely to score an anytime TD in Raiders vs. Chargers.
Our projections give Hampton a 47.5% chance of scoring a TD at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 13.6% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Las Vegas Raiders
- Ashton Jeanty (RB): 46.7% probability
- Tre Tucker (WR): 20.2%
- Michael Mayer (TE): 20.0%
- Jalen Nailor (WR): 18.1%
- Mike Washington (RB): 13.9%
Los Angeles Chargers
- Omarion Hampton (RB): 47.5% prob.
- Quentin Johnston (WR): 30.2%
- Ladd McConkey (WR): 28.5%
- Tre' Harris (WR): 18.6%
- Keaton Mitchell (RB): 16.8%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Las Vegas Raiders
- Ashton Jeanty (RB): 13.6% prob.
- Tre Tucker (WR): 4.9%
- Michael Mayer (TE): 4.8%
- Jalen Nailor (WR): 4.3%
- Mike Washington (RB): 3.2%
Los Angeles Chargers
- Omarion Hampton (RB): 13.6% prob.
- Quentin Johnston (WR): 7.6%
- Ladd McConkey (WR): 7.1%
- Tre' Harris (WR): 4.4%
- Keaton Mitchell (RB): 3.9%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Chargers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 2 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Kirk Cousins is projected for 203 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 228 yards.
Raiders rushing
- Ashton Jeanty: 65 yds
- Mike Washington: 21 yds
- Kirk Cousins: 3 yds
Chargers rushing
- Omarion Hampton: 68 yds
- Keaton Mitchell: 27 yds
- Justin Herbert: 23 yds
Raiders receiving
- Michael Mayer: 47 yds
- Tre Tucker: 41 yds
- Jalen Nailor: 38 yds
- Ashton Jeanty: 28 yds
- Jack Bech: 24 yds
Chargers receiving
- Quentin Johnston: 52 yds
- Ladd McConkey: 50 yds
- Tre' Harris: 37 yds
- David Njoku: 27 yds
- Oronde Gadsden: 19 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 2 action between the Chargers and Raiders at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
- Time: 4:05 PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Chargers, with a 70.8% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 2 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Ryan Leaver specializes in sports betting analysis across the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. Drawing on advanced statistical models, simulations, and historical data, he produces game previews, betting picks, player prop analysis, and futures coverage to help bettors make more informed decisions.
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