Vikings vs. Bears prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win in NFL Week 2 [2026]

Since our Vikings-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Vikings and Bears, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Bears a 66.7% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 26-21.

Key factors favoring the Bears:

• Minnesota Vikings Offensive Efficiency
• Chicago Bears Offensive Efficiency
• Chicago Bears Power Rankings

According to our model, the Bears (-3.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48.5 points has a 51.9% chance of going over.

The main contributing factors to the over being more likely are:

• Chicago Bears Form
• Minnesota Vikings Form

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 2 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Vikings +3.5 (+104) / Bears -3.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Vikings +188, Bears -190
• Total: Over/Under 48.5 (+104/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Bears -3.5 @ 52¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Bears @ 66¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 48.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears -3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Vikings vs. Bears TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Vikings vs. Bears?

According to our model, D'Andre Swift is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs. Bears.

Our projections give Swift a 49.4% chance of scoring a TD at Soldier Field, while the running back is a 12.2% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

• Aaron Jones (RB): 48.8% probability
• Justin Jefferson (WR): 38.0%
• Jordan Addison (WR): 28.9%
• T.J. Hockenson (TE): 23.1%
• DeeJay Dallas (RB): 18.2%

Chicago Bears

• D'Andre Swift (RB): 49.4% prob.
• Colston Loveland (TE): 32.5%
• Rome Odunze (WR): 29.0%
• Kyle Monangai (RB): 28.4%
• Luther Burden (WR): 28.3%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

• Aaron Jones (RB): 11.3% prob.
• Justin Jefferson (WR): 8.1%
• Jordan Addison (WR): 5.8%
• T.J. Hockenson (TE): 4.5%
• DeeJay Dallas (RB): 3.4%

Chicago Bears

• D'Andre Swift (RB): 12.2% prob.
• Colston Loveland (TE): 7.0%
• Rome Odunze (WR): 6.1%
• Kyle Monangai (RB): 6.0%
• Luther Burden (WR): 6.0%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Bears. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 2 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Carson Wentz is projected for 219 passing yards. The Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 232 yards.

Vikings rushing

• Aaron Jones: 61 yds
• DeeJay Dallas: 24 yds
• Demond Claiborne: 15 yds

Bears rushing

• D'Andre Swift: 68 yds
• Kyle Monangai: 41 yds
• Caleb Williams: 28 yds

Vikings receiving

• Justin Jefferson: 83 yds
• Jordan Addison: 46 yds
• T.J. Hockenson: 35 yds
• Aaron Jones: 19 yds
• Tai Felton: 19 yds

Bears receiving

• Luther Burden: 56 yds
• Colston Loveland: 55 yds
• Rome Odunze: 44 yds
• Kalif Raymond: 30 yds
• Cole Kmet: 18 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 2 game between the Bears and Vikings at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Bears, with a 66.7% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 2 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.