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Read Article Vikings vs. Bears prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win in NFL Week 2 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 66.7% win probability for the Bears at Soldier Field.
The Chicago Bears will take on the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 2 action at Soldier Field on Sunday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Bears as the most likely winner in this Vikings vs. Bears prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Vikings vs. Bears prediction and odds
Since our Vikings-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Vikings and Bears, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.
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Our leading predictive model currently gives the Bears a 66.7% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 2 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 25-21.
Key factors favoring the Bears:
- Minnesota Vikings Offensive Efficiency
- Chicago Bears Offensive Efficiency
- Chicago Bears Power Rankings
According to our model, the Bears (-3.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48.5 points has a 51.9% chance of going over.
The main contributing factors to the over being more likely are:
- Chicago Bears Form
- Minnesota Vikings Form
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 2 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Vikings +3.5 (+104) / Bears -3.5 (-108)
- Moneyline: Vikings +188, Bears -190
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (+104/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Bears -3.5 @ 52¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Bears @ 66¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 48.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bears -3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Vikings vs. Bears TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Vikings vs. Bears?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, D'Andre Swift is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs. Bears.
Our projections give Swift a 48.5% chance of scoring a TD at Soldier Field, while the running back is a 12.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Minnesota Vikings
- Aaron Jones (RB): 48.1% probability
- Justin Jefferson (WR): 37.6%
- Jordan Addison (WR): 28.8%
- T.J. Hockenson (TE): 22.1%
- DeeJay Dallas (RB): 18.7%
Chicago Bears
- D'Andre Swift (RB): 48.5% prob.
- Colston Loveland (TE): 31.8%
- Rome Odunze (WR): 28.7%
- Luther Burden (WR): 27.8%
- Kyle Monangai (RB): 27.7%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Minnesota Vikings
- Aaron Jones (RB): 11.3% prob.
- Justin Jefferson (WR): 8.1%
- Jordan Addison (WR): 5.9%
- T.J. Hockenson (TE): 4.3%
- DeeJay Dallas (RB): 3.6%
Chicago Bears
- D'Andre Swift (RB): 12.1% prob.
- Colston Loveland (TE): 7.0%
- Rome Odunze (WR): 6.2%
- Luther Burden (WR): 6.0%
- Kyle Monangai (RB): 5.9%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Bears. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 2 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Carson Wentz is projected for 218 passing yards. The Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 230 yards.
Vikings rushing
- Aaron Jones: 58 yds
- DeeJay Dallas: 24 yds
- Demond Claiborne: 15 yds
Bears rushing
- D'Andre Swift: 69 yds
- Kyle Monangai: 40 yds
- Caleb Williams: 27 yds
Vikings receiving
- Justin Jefferson: 82 yds
- Jordan Addison: 45 yds
- T.J. Hockenson: 35 yds
- Aaron Jones: 19 yds
- Tai Felton: 19 yds
Bears receiving
- Luther Burden: 54 yds
- Colston Loveland: 53 yds
- Rome Odunze: 44 yds
- Kalif Raymond: 29 yds
- Cole Kmet: 18 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 2 matchup between the Bears and Vikings at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
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Conclusion
We predict the Bears, with a 66.7% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 2 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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