Sep 9, 2026
NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Wednesday Night Football include Rhamondre Stevenson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba [Week 1, 2026]
Read Article Patriots vs. Seahawks prediction favors Seattle to win in NFL Week 1 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.9% win probability for the Seahawks at Lumen Field.
The Seattle Seahawks will square off with the New England Patriots in NFL Week 1 action at Lumen Field on Wednesday, starting at 8:20 PM ET.
Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Seahawks as the most likely winner in this Patriots vs. Seahawks prediction.
This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks, backed by the same system that has dominated college football and NFL betting markets across multiple seasons.
Patriots vs. Seahawks prediction and odds
Since our Patriots-Seahawks predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NFL game between the Patriots and Seahawks, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Seahawks a 61.9% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Seahawks winning 24-20.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Patriots and Seahawks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 51.1% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 1 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Patriots +3.5 (-108) / Seahawks -3.5 (+113)
- Moneyline: Patriots +163, Seahawks -163
- Total: Over/Under 44.5 (+104/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Seahawks -3.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Patriots @ 38¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Over 44.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Seahawks -3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Patriots vs. Seahawks TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Patriots vs. Seahawks?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Rhamondre Stevenson is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Patriots vs. Seahawks.
Our projections give Stevenson a 46.4% chance of scoring a TD at Lumen Field, while the running back is a 10.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New England Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson (RB): 46.4% probability
- A.J. Brown (WR): 37.8%
- Romeo Doubs (WR): 24.4%
- Hunter Henry (TE): 24.0%
- Drake Maye (QB): 17.7%
Seattle Seahawks
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 39.4% prob.
- Jadarian Price (RB): 36.7%
- George Holani (RB): 28.1%
- AJ Barner (TE): 25.1%
- Cooper Kupp (WR): 23.4%
First touchdown scorer predictions
New England Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson (RB): 10.8% prob.
- A.J. Brown (WR): 8.2%
- Romeo Doubs (WR): 4.9%
- Hunter Henry (TE): 4.8%
- Drake Maye (QB): 3.4%
Seattle Seahawks
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR): 9.7% prob.
- Jadarian Price (RB): 8.8%
- George Holani (RB): 6.4%
- AJ Barner (TE): 5.6%
- Cooper Kupp (WR): 5.2%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Patriots and Seahawks. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 1 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Patriots' Drake Maye is projected for 238 passing yards, while the Seahawks' Sam Darnold is expected to throw for 226 yards.
Patriots rushing
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 62 yds
- Drake Maye: 28 yds
- Corey Kiner: 11 yds
Seahawks rushing
- Jadarian Price: 56 yds
- George Holani: 20 yds
- Emanuel Wilson: 12 yds
Patriots receiving
- A.J. Brown: 68 yds
- Romeo Doubs: 42 yds
- Hunter Henry: 36 yds
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 27 yds
- DeMario Douglas: 26 yds
Seahawks receiving
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 85 yds
- Rashid Shaheed: 38 yds
- Cooper Kupp: 35 yds
- AJ Barner: 29 yds
- Elijah Arroyo: 16 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 1 matchup between the Seahawks and Patriots at Lumen Field is scheduled to commence at 8:20 PM ET.
- Who: New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
- Time: 8:20 PM ET/5:20PM PT
- Venue: Lumen Field
NFL Week 1 promo
Make the most of Dimers' Patriots vs. Seahawks predictions by exploring the below offer:
Polymarket
Conclusion
We predict the Seahawks, with a 61.9% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 1 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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