Jets vs. Titans prediction: Why Tennessee is favored to win in NFL Week 1 [2026]

Since our Jets-Titans predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Jets and Titans, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Titans a 54.1% chance of beating the Jets in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Titans winning 19-18. According to our model, the Jets (+1.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 38.5-point over/under has a 50.9% chance of staying under.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 1 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Jets +1.5 (-108) / Titans -1.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Jets +104, Titans -106
• Total: Over/Under 38.5 (-108/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Titans -1.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Titans @ 51¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 38.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Titans to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Jets vs. Titans TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Jets vs. Titans?

According to our model, Breece Hall is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Jets vs. Titans.

Our projections give Hall a 44.4% chance of getting in for six at Nissan Stadium, while the running back is a 12.0% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 44.4% probability
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 32.9%
• Braelon Allen (RB): 21.0%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 18.8%
• Mason Taylor (TE): 15.0%

Tennessee Titans

• Tony Pollard (RB): 35.7% prob.
• Tyjae Spears (RB): 25.5%
• Carnell Tate (WR): 25.0%
• Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 22.2%
• Calvin Ridley (WR): 20.5%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 12.0% prob.
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 8.2%
• Braelon Allen (RB): 4.8%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 4.3%
• Mason Taylor (TE): 3.3%

Tennessee Titans

• Tony Pollard (RB): 9.4% prob.
• Tyjae Spears (RB): 6.3%
• Carnell Tate (WR): 6.1%
• Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 5.3%
• Calvin Ridley (WR): 4.9%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jets and Titans. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 1 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Geno Smith is projected for 208 passing yards, while the Titans' Cam Ward is expected to throw for 208 yards.

Jets rushing

• Breece Hall: 68 yds
• Braelon Allen: 21 yds
• Isaiah Davis: 17 yds

Titans rushing

• Tony Pollard: 52 yds
• Tyjae Spears: 27 yds
• Cam Ward: 11 yds

Jets receiving

• Garrett Wilson: 66 yds
• Adonai Mitchell: 37 yds
• Mason Taylor: 25 yds
• Breece Hall: 22 yds
• Omar Cooper: 21 yds

Titans receiving

• Wan'Dale Robinson: 48 yds
• Carnell Tate: 44 yds
• Calvin Ridley: 33 yds
• Gunnar Helm: 25 yds
• Tyjae Spears: 19 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 1 action between the Titans and Jets at Nissan Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Jets vs. Tennessee Titans
• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Nissan Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Titans, with a 54.1% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 1 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.