NFL player props today: Week 1 best props include Josh Oliver [9/13/2026]

Dimers' NFL player props are live for September 13, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Josh Oliver, Pat Freiermuth and Jerry Jeudy.

Our NFL player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Bears vs. Panthers and Buccaneers vs. Bengals—and surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.

List of NFL prop bets for Week 1

Sourced from 100+ total NFL props on site today, below are the top 10 NFL player props for September 13, ranked by probability.

Josh Oliver over 0.5 receptions (-220)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 73.8%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Packers vs. Vikings (4:25PM ET)

Our model has found value on Minnesota's Josh Oliver over 0.5 receptions. A probability of 73.8% gives this play an edge of 5.1% at -220 odds.

Pat Freiermuth under 3.5 receptions (-200)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 70.0%
• Projection: 2.8
• Game: Falcons vs. Steelers (1:00PM ET)

Pat Freiermuth’s receptions prop shows a 3.3% edge at -200 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.8 receptions on the under 3.5 line.

Jerry Jeudy under 3.5 receptions (-174)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 67.7%
• Projection: 2.9
• Game: Browns vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jerry Jeudy under 3.5 receptions, with simulations showing a 67.7% probability and a 4.2% edge at -174.

De'Von Achane under 4.5 receptions (-152)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Projection: 3.8
• Game: Dolphins vs. Raiders (4:25PM ET)

Our model projects De'Von Achane to record 3.8 receptions today, creating an edge of 7.1% on the under 4.5 line at -152 odds.

Daniel Jones under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-164)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Game: Ravens vs. Colts (1:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Daniel Jones under 1.5 passing touchdowns for Indianapolis, showing an edge of 5.2% at -164 odds.

Malik Nabers under 5.5 receptions (-168)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Projection: 4.7
• Game: Cowboys vs. Giants (8:20PM ET)

Malik Nabers’s receptions prop shows an edge of 4.2% at -168 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.7 today.

Kenny Gainwell over 20.5 rushing yards (-118)

• Edge: 12.7%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Projection: 32.2
• Game: Buccaneers vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET)

Our model projects Kenny Gainwell for 32.2 rushing yards for Tampa Bay, creating an edge of 12.7% on over 20.5 at -118 odds.

Deshaun Watson under 4.5 rushing attempts (-130)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: Browns vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Deshaun Watson under 4.5 rushing attempts, supported by a 66.8% probability at -130 odds and an edge of 10.2%.

Trey McBride under 6.5 receptions (-147)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 66.0%
• Projection: 5.7
• Game: Cardinals vs. Chargers (4:25PM ET)

A 6.5% edge on the under 4.5 receptions line makes Trey McBride a value play in Cardinals vs. Chargers, with our model projecting him for 5.7 receptions at -147 odds.

Harold Fannin Jr. under 4.5 receptions (-166)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Projection: 3.9
• Game: Browns vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET)

Simulations project Harold Fannin Jr. for 3.9 receptions here, creating a 3.2% edge on the under 4.5 line at -166 odds.

NFL player prop summary: Week 1, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 11:33AM ET:

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Conclusion

For September 13, 2026, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Josh Oliver, Pat Freiermuth and Jerry Jeudy. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.