Titans vs. Ravens prediction favors Baltimore to win in NFL Week 4 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 85.0% win probability for the Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium.

The Baltimore Ravens will take on the Tennessee Titans in NFL Week 4 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Ravens as the most likely winner in this Titans vs. Ravens prediction.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Titans vs. Ravens prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model gives the Ravens an 85.0% chance of defeating the Titans in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 27-15.
Key factors favoring the Ravens:
- Baltimore Ravens Team Rating
- Tennessee Titans Offense
- Baltimore Ravens Offense
According to our model, the Ravens (-11.5) have a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 4 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Titans +11.5 (-102) / Ravens -11.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Titans +590, Ravens -614
- Total: Over/Under 42.5 (+104/-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Ravens -11.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Titans @ 14¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 42.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Ravens -11.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Titans vs. Ravens TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Titans vs. Ravens?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 4, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime TD in Titans vs. Ravens.
Our projections give Henry a 64.3% chance of scoring a TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the running back is a 19.3% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Tennessee Titans
- Tony Pollard (RB): 27.1% probability
- Tyjae Spears (RB): 18.4%
- Carnell Tate (WR): 16.8%
- Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 15.8%
- Cam Ward (QB): 13.8%
Baltimore Ravens
- Derrick Henry (RB): 64.3% prob.
- Zay Flowers (WR): 37.3%
- Mark Andrews (TE): 31.0%
- Lamar Jackson (QB): 26.8%
- Rashod Bateman (WR): 20.9%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Tennessee Titans
- Tony Pollard (RB): 7.0% prob.
- Tyjae Spears (RB): 4.5%
- Carnell Tate (WR): 4.1%
- Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 3.8%
- Cam Ward (QB): 3.3%
Baltimore Ravens
- Derrick Henry (RB): 19.3% prob.
- Zay Flowers (WR): 8.8%
- Mark Andrews (TE): 7.0%
- Lamar Jackson (QB): 5.9%
- Rashod Bateman (WR): 4.4%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Titans and Ravens. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 4 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Titans' Cam Ward is projected for 193 passing yards, while the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is expected to throw for 220 yards.
Titans rushing
- Tony Pollard: 51 yds
- Tyjae Spears: 20 yds
- Cam Ward: 13 yds
Ravens rushing
- Derrick Henry: 98 yds
- Lamar Jackson: 36 yds
- Justice Hill: 21 yds
Titans receiving
- Carnell Tate: 50 yds
- Wan'Dale Robinson: 43 yds
- Elic Ayomanor: 25 yds
- Gunnar Helm: 24 yds
- Tyjae Spears: 15 yds
Ravens receiving
- Zay Flowers: 74 yds
- Mark Andrews: 41 yds
- Rashod Bateman: 33 yds
- Chris Moore: 15 yds
- Justice Hill: 15 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 4 game between the Ravens and Titans at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Ravens, with an 85.0% win probability, will likely beat the Titans in Week 4 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



