Packers vs. Patriots: NFL Week 9 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Packers vs. Patriots prediction for Sunday, November 8, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
NFL sport icon
NFL
Packers
Predicted score
21
:
24
Gillette Stadium
Patriots
Gillette Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Packers +3.5
Spread
  • Packers
    54.7%
    NovigNovig
  • Patriots
    45.3%
    PolymarketPolymarket
Player Props
Packers
Probability
  • Josh Jacobs
    46.0%
  • Christian Watson
    36.6%
  • Matthew Golden
    30.3%
  • Tucker Kraft
  • MarShawn Lloyd
Patriots
Probability
  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    48.2%
  • Eli Raridon
    26.7%
  • DeMario Douglas
    25.9%
  • Hunter Henry
  • Corey Kiner
Projected Player Stats
Packers Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
J. Love
Patriots Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
D. Maye
Packers Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Jacobs
M. Lloyd
J. Love
Patriots Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
R. Stevenson
C. Kiner
D. Maye
Packers Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
C. Watson
M. Golden
T. Kraft
J. Jacobs
S. Williams
Patriots Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
D. Douglas
E. Chism
M. Hollins
R. Stevenson
E. Raridon

Packers vs. Patriots: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 9

  • Teams: Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots
  • Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
  • Time: 4:25PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Packers (+3.5, -113), Patriots (-3.5, +113)
  • Moneyline: Packers +156, Patriots -160
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points (-108/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Packers: 39.0%
  • Patriots: 61.0%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Packers 20-23 Patriots.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Packers a win probability of 39.0%, while the Patriots have a win probability of 61.0%.

Summary

The Packers face off against the Patriots in the NFL at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, November 8, 2026.

Our Packers vs. Patriots predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.