Stars vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why Dallas is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/17/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Stars and Blackhawks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Stars a 63.7% chance of beating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 59.5% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 53.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Stars -1.5 (+127) / Blackhawks +1.5 (-133)
• Moneyline: Stars -203, Blackhawks +199
• Total: Over/Under 6 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Blackhawks +1.5 @ 57¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Blackhawks @ 34¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 6 @ -110 via BetMGM

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Stars vs. Blackhawks player props

Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Blackhawks?

According to our model, Jason Robertson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Blackhawks.

Our projections give Robertson a 37.7% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is an 8.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Dallas Stars

• Jason Robertson: 37.7% probability
• Wyatt Johnston: 36.5% probability
• Mikko Rantanen: 31.7% probability
• Roope Hintz: 24.6% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 24.2% probability

Chicago Blackhawks

• Roman Kantserov: 33.0% probability
• Connor Bedard: 30.5% probability
• Tyler Bertuzzi: 27.4% probability
• Patrick Kane: 21.5% probability
• Frank Nazar: 17.5% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Dallas Stars

• Jason Robertson: 8.5% probability
• Wyatt Johnston: 7.9% probability
• Mikko Rantanen: 6.3% probability
• Roope Hintz: 4.7% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 4.6% probability

Chicago Blackhawks

• Connor Bedard: 6.7% probability
• Roman Kantserov: 6.3% probability
• Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.8% probability
• Patrick Kane: 3.9% probability
• Frank Nazar: 3.5% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Saturday's game between the Blackhawks and Stars at United Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Stars vs. Chicago Blackhawks
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: United Center

Conclusion

We predict the Stars, with a 63.7% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Saturday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.