Sharks vs. Red Wings prediction favors Detroit to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/17/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Sharks and Red Wings, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Red Wings a 57.6% chance of defeating the Sharks. According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 63.9% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54.3% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Sharks +1.5 (-194) / Red Wings -1.5 (+186)
• Moneyline: Sharks +133, Red Wings -135
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+111/-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Red Wings -1.5 @ 35¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Red Wings @ 58¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 6.5 @ 53¢ via Novig

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Sharks vs. Red Wings player props

Who will score a goal in Sharks vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sharks vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 43.7% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 9.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

San Jose Sharks

• Macklin Celebrini: 36.8% probability
• Will Smith: 27.3% probability
• Igor Chernyshov: 22.8% probability
• Mason Marchment: 22.5% probability
• Tyler Toffoli: 22.0% probability

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 43.7% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 40.8% probability
• Dylan Larkin: 40.1% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 29.9% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 17.8% probability

First goal scorer predictions

San Jose Sharks

• Macklin Celebrini: 6.9% probability
• Will Smith: 5.1% probability
• Mason Marchment: 4.3% probability
• Tyler Toffoli: 4.1% probability
• Igor Chernyshov: 3.9% probability

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 9.5% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 8.2% probability
• Dylan Larkin: 7.6% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 5.0% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 3.5% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Saturday's matchup between the Red Wings and Sharks at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: San Jose Sharks vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Red Wings, with a 57.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks in Saturday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.