Senators vs. Flyers prediction: Why Ottawa is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/17/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Senators and Flyers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Senators a 57.3% chance of defeating the Flyers. According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 65.7% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 50.8% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Senators -1.5 (+182) / Flyers +1.5 (-185)
• Moneyline: Senators -147, Flyers +144
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (+111/-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Flyers +1.5 @ -185 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Flyers @ 41¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 5.5 @ 48¢ via Novig

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Senators vs. Flyers player props

Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Flyers?

According to our model, Tim Stutzle is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Flyers.

Our projections give Stutzle a 35.3% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 35.3% probability
• Drake Batherson: 34.3% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 25.1% probability
• Shane Pinto: 24.9% probability
• Fabian Zetterlund: 17.2% probability

Philadelphia Flyers

• Tyson Foerster: 27.6% probability
• Trevor Zegras: 25.8% probability
• Porter Martone: 25.6% probability
• Matvei Michkov: 22.5% probability
• Oliver Bonk: 22.4% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 7.7% probability
• Drake Batherson: 7.0% probability
• Shane Pinto: 5.4% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 4.5% probability
• Michael Amadio: 3.3% probability

Philadelphia Flyers

• Tyson Foerster: 6.0% probability
• Porter Martone: 5.0% probability
• Trevor Zegras: 4.9% probability
• Matvei Michkov: 4.6% probability
• Oliver Bonk: 4.4% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Saturday's game between the Flyers and Senators at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 57.3% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Saturday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.