Red Wings vs. Panthers prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026

The Florida Panthers are favored to beat the Detroit Red Wings at Amerant Bank Arena on Thursday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Red Wings vs. Panthers prediction gives Florida a 59.9% chance of coming out on top, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Red Wings as the underdog.

Red Wings vs. Panthers key predictions

• Panthers win probability: 59.9%
• Red Wings win probability: 40.1%
• Over 5.5 goals: 54.8% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Red Wings vs. Panthers odds

These are the best available prices across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets we track.

• Red Wings moneyline: 36¢ (Novig)
• Panthers moneyline: -180 (BetRivers)
• Over 5.5 goals: -132 (FanDuel)
• Under 5.5 goals: +120 (theScore Bet)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Red Wings vs. Panthers pick: Red Wings ML (36¢)

Our model makes the Panthers the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Red Wings moneyline at 36¢ on Novig.

Those odds give Red Wings an implied win probability of 35.5%, while our model puts it at 40.1%.

That's a 4.6% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this matchup.

Red Wings vs. Panthers goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Sam Reinhart of the Panthers leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Thursday's game at 40.0%, followed by Detroit's Alex DeBrincat (38.1%). Reinhart also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 8.7%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Sam Reinhart (Panthers): 40.0%
2. Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings): 38.1%
3. Brady Tkachuk (Panthers): 37.5%
4. Viktor Arvidsson (Red Wings): 36.1%
5. Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers): 34.7%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Sam Reinhart (Panthers): 8.7%
2. Viktor Arvidsson (Red Wings): 7.7%
3. Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings): 7.4%
4. Brady Tkachuk (Panthers): 7.2%
5. Carter Verhaeghe (Panthers): 6.3%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare probabilities with available prices to find potential value.

Get every Red Wings vs. Panthers prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Red Wings vs. Panthers predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Red Wings vs. Panthers game details

• Matchup: Detroit Red Wings vs. Florida Panthers
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: Amerant Bank Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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