Islanders vs. Kings prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026

The Los Angeles Kings are favored to beat the New York Islanders at Crypto.com Arena on Thursday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Islanders vs. Kings prediction gives Los Angeles a 53.4% chance of getting the W, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Islanders as the underdog.

Islanders vs. Kings key predictions

• Kings win probability: 53.4%
• Islanders win probability: 46.6%
• Islanders +1.5 puck line: 69.0% cover probability
• Under 6 goals: 52.9% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Islanders vs. Kings odds

These are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

• Islanders moneyline: 46¢ (Novig)
• Kings moneyline: 54¢ (Novig)
• Islanders +1.5: 69¢ (Novig)
• Kings -1.5: 32¢ (Novig)
• Over 6 goals: -107 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 6 goals: -115 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Islanders vs. Kings pick: Islanders ML (46¢)

Our model makes the Kings the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Islanders moneyline at 46¢ on Novig.

Those odds give Islanders an implied win probability of 46.5%, while our model rates it at 46.6%.

That's a 0.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

Islanders vs. Kings goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Adrian Kempe of the Kings leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Thursday's game at 33.9%, ahead of teammate Artemi Panarin (33.0%). NY's most likely goal-scorer, Bo Horvat, is close behind at 32.1%. Horvat leads the first goal-scorer projections at 7.4%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Adrian Kempe (Kings): 33.9%
2. Artemi Panarin (Kings): 33.0%
3. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 32.1%
4. Victor Eklund (Islanders): 26.4%
5. Quinton Byfield (Kings): 25.6%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Bo Horvat (Islanders): 7.4%
2. Artemi Panarin (Kings): 6.9%
3. Adrian Kempe (Kings): 6.7%
4. Quinton Byfield (Kings): 5.6%
5. Victor Eklund (Islanders): 5.1%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available prices to assess potential value.

Get every Islanders vs. Kings prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Islanders vs. Kings predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Islanders vs. Kings game details

• Matchup: NY Islanders vs. Los Angeles Kings
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Puck drop: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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