Jets vs. Stars prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026

The Dallas Stars are favored to beat the Winnipeg Jets at American Airlines Center on Thursday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Jets vs. Stars prediction gives Dallas a 59.3% chance of coming out on top, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Jets as the underdog.

Jets vs. Stars key predictions

• Stars win probability: 59.3%
• Jets win probability: 40.6%
• Jets +1.5 puck line: 63.4% cover probability
• Over 5.5 goals: 53.1% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Jets vs. Stars odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

• Jets moneyline: +148 (BetRivers)
• Stars moneyline: 60¢ (Novig)
• Jets +1.5: 64¢ (Novig)
• Stars -1.5: 37¢ (Novig)
• Over 5.5 goals: 53¢ (Novig)
• Under 5.5 goals: 47¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Jets vs. Stars pick: Jets ML (+148)

Our model makes the Stars the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the Jets moneyline at +148 on BetRivers.

Those odds give Jets an implied win probability of 40.3%, while our model rates it at 40.6%.

That's a 0.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets for this matchup.

Jets vs. Stars goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each game 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Jason Robertson of the Stars leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Thursday's game at 40.0%, followed by Winnipeg's Kyle Connor (38.7%). Robertson also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 8.6%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Jason Robertson (Stars): 40.0%
2. Kyle Connor (Jets): 38.7%
3. Wyatt Johnston (Stars): 36.6%
4. Mikko Rantanen (Stars): 32.0%
5. Mark Scheifele (Jets): 31.0%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Jason Robertson (Stars): 8.6%
2. Kyle Connor (Jets): 8.1%
3. Wyatt Johnston (Stars): 7.6%
4. Mark Scheifele (Jets): 6.1%
5. Mikko Rantanen (Stars): 5.9%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare probabilities with available odds to assess potential value.

Get every Jets vs. Stars prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Jets vs. Stars predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Jets vs. Stars game details

• Matchup: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Puck drop: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: American Airlines Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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