Capitals vs. Devils prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026

The New Jersey Devils are favored to beat the Washington Capitals at Prudential Center on Thursday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NHL model.

Our Capitals vs. Devils prediction gives New Jersey a 54.5% chance of coming out on top, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Capitals as the underdog.

Capitals vs. Devils key predictions

• Devils win probability: 54.5%
• Capitals win probability: 45.4%
• Capitals +1.5 puck line: 67.1% cover probability
• Under 6 goals: 50.1% probability

Our NHL predictions estimate how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent performance, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

We then calculate the probability of each team winning and covering the puck line, plus the chance the game goes over or under the total, and compare those probabilities with the latest odds to find betting value.

Capitals vs. Devils odds

These are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

• Capitals moneyline: 42¢ (Novig)
• Devils moneyline: 59¢ (Novig)
• Capitals +1.5: 64¢ (Novig)
• Devils -1.5: 37¢ (Novig)
• Over 6 goals: -123 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 6 goals: +103 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Capitals vs. Devils pick: Capitals ML (42¢)

Our model makes the Devils the more likely winner, but our best value bet is the Capitals moneyline at 42¢ on Novig.

Those odds give Capitals an implied win probability of 42.0%, while our model puts it at 45.4%.

That's a 3.5% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.

Capitals vs. Devils goal-scorer predictions

Our NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, opponent strength, and projected team goals.

Jack Hughes of the Devils leads the anytime goal-scorer projections for Thursday's game at 35.1%, followed by Washington's Alex Tuch (32.5%). Hughes also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 6.6%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

1. Jack Hughes (Devils): 35.1%
2. Alex Tuch (Capitals): 32.5%
3. Nico Hischier (Devils): 28.7%
4. Arseny Gritsyuk (Devils): 24.2%
5. Timo Meier (Devils): 24.1%

First goal-scorer predictions

1. Jack Hughes (Devils): 6.6%
2. Alex Tuch (Capitals): 6.3%
3. Nico Hischier (Devils): 5.8%
4. Arseny Gritsyuk (Devils): 4.5%
5. Jakob Chychrun (Capitals): 4.3%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare probabilities with available odds to find potential value.

Get every Capitals vs. Devils prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Capitals vs. Devils predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets

Capitals vs. Devils game details

• Matchup: Washington Capitals vs. New Jersey Devils
• Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Prudential Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NHL models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or starting goaltender confirmations. Learn how our predictions work.

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