Kings vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Kings vs. Islanders in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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LIVE
1st 12:00
NHL
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 12:00
Updating LIVE
NHL sport icon
NHL
Kings
1
:
0
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Kings
1 1
Islanders
0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Kings
    65%
  • Islanders
    35%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Kings
1 1
Islanders
0 0
P1 08:00 Shot on goal by Trevor Moore saved by Semyon Varlamov
P1 07:43 Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P1 06:49 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 06:07 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 05:49 Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P1 05:17 Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Semyon Varlamov
P1 04:34 Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Erik Haula
P1 03:08 Shorthanded - Joel Armia shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P1 02:46 Shot missed by Brayden Schenn
P1 02:20 Emil Heineman shot blocked by Jared Wright
P1 02:02 Shot on goal by Matthew Kessel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 01:38 Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Semyon Varlamov
Play by Play
  1. P1 08:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Moore saved by Semyon Varlamov
  2. P1 07:45
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  3. P1 07:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  4. P1 07:03
    Erik Haula won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  5. P1 07:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  6. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Darcy Kuemper
  7. P1 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Darcy Kuemper
  8. P1 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  9. P1 05:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  10. P1 05:19
    Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  11. P1 05:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Semyon Varlamov
  12. P1 04:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Erik Haula
  13. P1 03:38
    Shorthanded - Erik Haula won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  14. P1 03:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Joel Armia shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  15. P1 02:50
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Erik Haula in offensive zone
  16. P1 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Schenn
  17. P1 02:22
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  18. P1 02:20
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Jared Wright
  19. P1 02:05
    Kings won faceoff against Islanders in defensive zone
  20. P1 02:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Kessel saved by Darcy Kuemper
  21. P1 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Semyon Varlamov
  22. P1 00:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  23. P1 00:14
    Andre Lee credited with hit on Mitchell Chaffee in neutral zone
  24. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Kings
STATS
Islanders
4Shots on Goal6
46% Faceoff Win % 55%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins0
1Hits3
6 Shots Blocked 1
0Giveaways3
KingsLA
IslandersNYI
4Shots on Goal6
46% Faceoff Win % 55%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins0
1Hits3
6 Shots Blocked 1
0Giveaways3

Kings vs. Islanders prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Los Angeles Kings vs. NY Islanders Islanders
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:30PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Kings (+1.5, -264), Islanders (-1.5, +257)
  • Moneyline: Kings -104, Islanders +102
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals (-102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Kings: 48.8%
  • Islanders: 51.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Kings vs. Islanders player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Adrian Kempe, Kings: 32.6%
  • Artemi Panarin, Kings: 32.4%
  • Bo Horvat, Islanders: 36.1%
  • Matthew Schaefer, Islanders: 24.0%

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  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 48.8%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 51.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Kings in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Kings vs. Islanders, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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