Oct 3, 2026
Sydney Roosters vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Why Roosters are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 31 matchup [10/4/2026]
Read Article Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Brisbane Broncos prediction: Bulldogs favored to win Thursday's NRL Round 27 matchup [9/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 78.5% win probability for the Bulldogs at Stadium Australia.
NRL action continues on Thursday at 5:50 AM ET as the Brisbane Broncos lock horns with the Canterbury Bulldogs at Stadium Australia.
Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Bulldogs as the most likely winner in this Broncos vs. Bulldogs prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bulldogs vs. Broncos prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NRL game between the Broncos and Bulldogs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Bulldogs a 78.5% chance of defeating the Broncos.
According to our model, the Bulldogs (-9.5) have a 53.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under has a 59.9% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Broncos +195, Bulldogs -263
- Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-114/-114)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Bulldogs -9.5 @ -130 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Bulldogs @ -263 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 53.5 @ -114 via BetRivers
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 53.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Thursday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Bulldogs and Broncos at Stadium Australia is scheduled to begin at 5:50 AM ET.
- Who: Brisbane Broncos vs. Canterbury Bulldogs
- Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
- Time: 5:50 AM ET/2:50AM PT
- Venue: Stadium Australia
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Bulldogs, with a 78.5% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Thursday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
